Yes, there will be rain
Fredericksburg escaped a wet gloomy weekend by ~80 miles as the overcast and rainfall were shunted further south than thought late last week (thus Saturday’s blog update). Currently a surface low pressure system approaching from the west is forcing an old frontal boundary northward while a cold front is marching eastward. The results for the ‘Burg will be increasing clouds and chances of rain later today – Monday – and Tuesday.
Here’s the forecast surface map as of 8 pm this evening courtesy of NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center:The blue “H” off the coast of Maine is the high pressure center that won the shoving contest with the old front (red boundary) and kept Fredericksburg dry over the weekend. The red “L” over northwestern Ohio is the low pressure center that will drag the cold front (blue line) eastward across the Midwestern states.
The overall result for today will be increasing cloudiness and chances for showers around the region. The steadier rain will arrive after dark as this complex surface system nears. Tuesday will then feature a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms as the old frontal boundary enters the vicinity of the ‘Burg. Any sunshine peeking thru tomorrow will increase atmospheric instability and thus increase the potential for such storms. Thermometers both days will top out at or near the 80 degree mark.
Thus some much needed rain will arrive today having avoided messing with the weekend. And the Canadian air behind the oncoming cold front will provide dry and unseasonably cool conditions for the latter part of the week. Might we avoid “Augustian” heat totally? Perhaps not since models are hinting at warmer and stickier conditions next week…but it couldn’t last long as September isn’t far off!!