By Chris White

Weather Blog: Since Fredericksburg resides "in the seam" between the Richmond VA and Washington DC media markets this blog is a look at the weather from a Fredericksburg-centric point of view.

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Heavy rain and severe storms likely today in Fredericksburg

UPDATE: River Flood Warning issued for Fredericksburg

The National Weather Service has issued a River Flood Warning for Fredericksburg from this evening through late Thursday night.

The Rappahannock River is expected to crest at 22 feet at 8 a.m. Thursday, Fredericksburg officials report. Flood Stage at the City Dock is 18 feet.

Rusty Dennen compiled the impact of high water in Fredericksburg:

At 22 feet, water reaches several buildings in Fredericksburg.

At flood stage of 18 feet, water reaches some parking lots near the river in the city, and two homes on Sophia Street are flooded.

At 14 feet, water approaches a couple homes in the flood plain on Sophia Street, and water begins to reach River Road on the east side of the river.

At 10 feet, water begins to encroach upon a basement in the flood plain around fredericksburg.

At nine feet, water reaches the waterfront at City Dock.

Check here for the latest timing and expected river levels.

Road closures

Below is a partial list of roads that are currently closed due to flooding or posted for high water. For the latest complete list of road conditions visit or call 511.


Route 1 north – between Larkin Road and Stonebridge Court – high water

Route 669 (French Acors Road) – Closed


Harrell Road – Closed

River Road – Closed

Caroline County

Route 657 – near Route 658 Jericho Rd and Route 1 – Closed

Route 603 – from Route 639 (Ladysmith Rd) to Goose Hill Road – Closed

Route 639 – from Bride Wood Subdvd. to Lake Land’Or Subdvd. – High water

Route 601 – from Route 658 to Route 1 – High water

Route 604 – near Route 1 – High water

Route 1 – just south Route 632- High water

Route 622 – between Route 1 and Ladysmith Village – High water

The word for today is literally and figuratively “preparedness.” And it is very appropriate that today is America’s PrepareAThon given (a) the recent tornado outbreaks and (b) the potential for severe weather today – including tornadoes – for Fredericksburg. Heavy rain and severe storms will rule the headlines across Virginia today.

Yesterday the UMW weather station recorded 1.59 inches of rain. That total will likely be exceeded today as the same rain gauge has already recorded 0.80 inches since midnight. The cold air damming wedge that has dominated our weather the past couple of days is being pushed northward by warm moist air. The clash of the two air masses at the warm front boundary between them is squeezing out tremendous amounts of moisture. In fact the National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch thru 1 a.m. for the area.

That same clash of air masses is also providing the fuel for severe storms, including tornadoes. Yesterday’s tornadic storms in eastern North Carolina were along this warm front and now that boundary is on the ‘Burg’s doorstep. By late morning the warm sticky air will make its way into the city and folks will need to be on high alert for severe storms. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for severe weather over much of Virginia as shown in this graphic:day1otlk_1200 (1)

The threat includes strong straight line winds, chances for large hail, and a significant probability of tornadoes for Virginia, including Fredericksburg. On top of the heavy rain and flash flood threat that makes today a day to stay weather aware. Don’t just look at the forecast or weather conditions once today and then turn away. Stay tuned to local media and have your emergency weather notifications (smartphone, weather radio, etc) at hand.

American’s PrepareAThon indeed!