Showers and storms later today
Despite the bright sunshine this morning it would be a good idea to take an umbrella or other rain gear with you when you head out the door. An approaching low pressure system will drag a cold front across Fredericksburg this evening. With warm moist air streaming northward ahead of the front rain is definitely in the picture today and tonight, totaling up to half an inch. Precipitation will likely start between 1 and 2 pm and finally end with the frontal passage by 11 pm tonight.
One thing to note is the proximity of a Slight Risk of severe weather issued by the Storm Prediction Center for much of eastern Virginia just to the south of the ‘Burg. An approaching upper level short wave trough is over Kentucky and is circled in this water vapor image:
This swirl is heading eastward and will enhance the thunderstorm activity over the Richmond and Tidewater areas today, with the chances for strong winds, hail, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. So be alert if you are traveling in that direction today and also note that the ‘Burg is on the very northern edge of that zone. Severe weather is not likely in and around Fredericksburg but it isn’t out of the question either.
Meanwhile temperatures today will rise into the low 70s ahead of the rain. Behind the front Saturday will turn out sunny and warmer with a high in the upper 70s but tempered by westerly winds gusting to 25 mph. Sunday will also be sunny behind a second – dryer – cold front that will keep the thermometer in the upper 60s with a light northerly breeze. All in all the last weekend of April looks very nice for outdoor activities around the ‘Burg!!