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By Chris White

Weather Blog: Since Fredericksburg resides "in the seam" between the Richmond VA and Washington DC media markets this blog is a look at the weather from a Fredericksburg-centric point of view.

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April showers? Almost there

The calendar still reads March but the weather this weekend will seem more like the old “April showers” refrain. A surface low-pressure center currently located over the Great Lakes region is dragging a cold front across the Midwest. Ahead of the front the southerly wind flow is pumping Gulf of Mexico moisture northward into our area, which is triggering today’s rainfall. The front itself will ooze just south of Fredericksburg near midnight tonight and then stall out, leaving the ‘Burg in the cooler air behind it.

Another surface low pressure will then develop along this stalled front overnight. This feature will bring us the weekend’s rainfall, which could be substantial. Check out this section of a Weather Prediction Center graphic for the 72 hours from Friday morning through Monday morning:qpf days 1-3The purplish shading that covers Fredericksburg indicates the potential for over two inches of rainfall from this system.

Temperatures will also be suppressed a bit by the clouds and the cool air behind the stalled front (which won’t push completely through our region until late Saturday night). After a high today in the low 60s – near normal for this date – both Saturday and Sunday will feature maximums in the upper 50s. The good news? Temperatures will remain well above freezing for this event so we don’t have to worry about frozen precipitation.

But if you’ve planned outdoor activities for the weekend you will need rain gear. Or, one alternative would be the Wild & Scenic film festival on Saturday, which is indoors but will provide an environmental perspective of the great outdoors…without having to get wet by actually being outdoors!

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Permalink: http://news.fredericksburg.com/weather/2014/03/28/april-showers-almost-there/