Fredericksburg to be clipped this time but no Clipper involved
UPDATE: The Fredericksburg area is now under a Winter Weather Advisory, which is in effect through 6 a.m. Wednesday. One to 3 inches of snow may fall during this time.
UPDATE 10:45 a.m.: And right on cue the morning model runs are indicating a track further to the west for this storm. The NWS Sterling office has upped the ‘Burg’s snow totals to 1-2 inches by the time it ends tonight. Here’s a quote from their forecast discussion:
"UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND NORTH AND WEST WITH THE HIGHER QPF TOTALS."
What does that mean? The forecast could change more as the day wears on. Stay tuned!!
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We have seen so many Alberta Clippers this winter that a good “old-fashioned” coastal storm seems out of place, but that is what will create havoc across the Southeastern states today.
The Arctic cold front that pushed through Fredericksburg yesterday combined with moisture riding up from the Gulf of Mexico will cause winter miseries for places that are ill-equipped to handle it. Snow, sleet, and freezing rain are in store for unusual places like Charleston, S.C., and Virginia Beach, with parts of eastern North Carolina forecast to see up to 8 inches of snow. Those sites don’t have many salt trucks or snow plows!
Fredericksburg will once again be on the hairy edge of this winter event except this time we will be on the northwestern edge of things, where there will be a very sharp cutoff to the snow amounts. Here is the watch and warning graphic from the National Weather Service:The purples over southeastern VA are winter weather advisories while the pink shading just visible in the bottom right is a winter storm warning. As I mentioned in yesterday’s blogpost the ‘Burg could see a dusting of snow tonight but more of the white stuff will accumulate farther south and east of the city. The Northern Neck counties closest to the Chesapeake Bay should be on the lookout for 2-4 inches.
As in any storm that has not yet formed – this one hasn’t yet! – a location difference of 50 miles would make a big difference to snow depths. If the storm’s path jogged a bit to the west from the current forecast the ‘Burg could see more than a dusting. The odds of that are low right now but this is a good time to stay weather aware. Oh, and bundle up…it’s cold out there!!