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Wet and chilly Sunday

As advertised the approaching weather system is dumping plenty of rain on Fredericksburg with a half-inch already recorded at the UMW weather station. The clouds and moisture kept overnight lows from dropping into the teens and 20s of the past few days but the other side of that coin is that highs today will reach only the mid-40s. Here is the forecast surface map for 1 pm today:


The green indicates rain while blue shows snowfall behind the Arctic cold front still off to our west. If the surface low from the south and the cold air from the north had “phased” (met up) at the right time the shading over the ‘Burg would be all blue – snow – right now. But alas the snow lovers missed their chance once again this winter.

The rain will taper off later this afternoon and Monday will wind up partly sunny with highs in the low 40s, which is average for this time of year. The Arctic air behind the next cold front is generating temperatures well below zero over the northern Plains and upper Midwest, but by the time that air mass gets here it will have warmed up considerably. [Note: Any snow lovers brave enough to be awake and outside between midnight Monday and dawn Tuesday morning may catch sight of some flurries courtesy of an upper level disturbance "wrinkling" along the cold front. No accumulations are expected though.]

New Year’s Eve we will see another typical winter day as Tuesday’s high will also be in the low 40s under mostly sunny skies. Revelers Tuesday night will need to bundle up as temperatures will drop into the upper 20s as 2013 turns into 2014. More on this week’s weather in Monday’s blogpost.