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Wet start to Christmas week

FORECAST: Click here for the latest from the National Weather Service

The UMW weather station has recorded only 0.61 inches of rainfall since yesterday but a peek at radar shows a couple of waves of heavier precipitation heading toward the city from the southwest. As the front continues its eastward march the current temperature of 61 degrees at UMW is likely today’s high since cooler air behind the boundary will begin its invasion soon.

The rain will begin tapering off mid-afternoon with the short-term forecast models indicating that the tap will turn off completely by 8 p.m. this evening. Skies will clear tonight and tomorrow morning – Christmas Eve – will bring cooler temperatures and some sunshine. However, the passage of an upper level trough will create the conditions for a brief period of rain and snow showers Tuesday afternoon (the ‘Burg is at the white circle):

Temperature map at 18,000 ft showing trough

Temperatures Tuesday will only reach into the low 40s with northerly breezes while Wednesday – Christmas Day – the highs will struggle to climb into the upper 30s behind this trough. The flip side is that Wednesday will be sunny with diminishing winds so it will seem warmer than it really is. The rest of this week will feature typical late December temperatures with little or no chances of precipitation.

Have a Merry Christmas and safe journeys!! The next weather blog entry will be Friday unless something unusual pops up on the weather models between now and then.