A cool start to a sunny Sunday
Happy Eastern Standard Time to you (and I hope you remembered to “fall back” on your clocks that didn’t automatically reset!). This morning’s low temperature of 38 degrees at the UMW weather station jives with most of the lows around the area for the first weekend in November. A second reinforcing slug of cool Canadian air is currently invading Fredericksburg behind a secondary cold front that passed through near daybreak, a parting shot from the long wave trough axis, which is moving off the coast.
Today’s sunshine will boost temperatures into the upper 50s but it will feel cooler due to a persistent northwesterly breeze that could provide gusts over 20 mph. November is typically a windy month and today will prove no exception to that. As far as overall temperatures the Climate Prediction Center provides this graphic that shows they are thinking our first half of November will be warmer than normal:
That doesn’t mean it will feel tropical though. Average November high temperatures in Fredericksburg start in the mid-60s and end in the mid-50s. This week’s outlook is somewhat of a roller coaster ride with highs tomorrow only in the low 50s, climbing to a high in the upper 60s later in the week ahead of the next cold front before diving back into the 50s for next weekend. What Fredericksburg could use is a good soaking rainfall as this autumn has been a bit dry. (And if you want a peek at what the winter may be like the current dry pattern may be setting the trend for the next few months…but I’ll leave the official long-term prognostication to the experts.)
Thus windbreakers, jackets, and sweaters will be useful both today and the rest of the week. Enjoy the earlier sunrise time but sundown today will come much earlier than most people want it to!