Autumn weather continuing
Fredericksburg’s first full week of autumn is living up to its potential with mild conditions and no dramatic weather swings one way or another. Yesterday’s high of 69 degrees at the UMW weather station will likely be the coolest high temperature this week as the thermometer looks to climb above the 70-degree mark each day through the upcoming weekend. Dewpoints – the ultimate measure of humidity – will remain near 50 degrees providing nice dry conditions and allowing for morning low temperatures to drop to the low 50s.
Today sunshine will prevail although some high clouds will be on the increase toward sunset as a short wave trough approaches in the upper levels from the southwest. This feature will provide cloudy skies tonight and Thursday morning but the precipitation should stay south of the I-64 corridor. In fact, a glance at the seven-day precipitation outlook from the Weather Prediction Center shows a decided lack of rain for the Fredericksburg area as shown in this graphic:
This dry period could be interrupted early next week, however, as a coastal storm (perhaps the first nor’easter of this fall) develops. The longer-range forecast models have bounced around the track of this potential storm a bit but right now it looks to be far enough offshore that the ‘Burg would avoid any rainfall from the system. We’ll have to monitor that over the next few days. Meanwhile enjoy another beautiful day!