Rain, rain, won’t completely go away anytime soon
The upper level low that has been plaguing the Mid-Atlantic with rainfall for what seems like forever is not in any hurry to move along. At the moment it is centered on southern West Virginia and by tomorrow morning it will have moved only to the Baltimore / Washington corridor:
The overall result of this snail-paced movement plus the approach of another cold front over the weekend means that each day from now through Monday has at least a chance of showers in the forecast. The silver lining is that several of those days – including today – will feature some sunshine as well but I wouldn’t put the umbrellas and ponchos back in the closet just yet.
There has been a lot of rain over a wide swath of the Piedmont recently. There are numerous reports of more than 4 inches of rain between Fredericksburg and the Blue Ridge mountains, including a 4.97-inch report from Spotsylvania county. All that water has to drain off somewhere, which is why the region continues under a flood watch through this evening. Although the Rappahannock is forecast to crest below flood stage the creeks and streams upriver could easily overflow their banks given a heavy shower or thunderstorm that dumps a lot of rain in a short period of time. Keep an ear to the weather radio for any flood warnings that could be issued, even if it isn’t raining in your immediate vicinity.
While today’s high temperatures will top out in the upper 60s, they will climb into the 70s tomorrow through Sunday, even breaching the 80 degree mark – briefly – on Friday. Following a cold frontal passage over the weekend temperatures will drop once again due to a cold Canadian air invasion with highs topping out in the mid to upper 60s early next week before a warmup commences. The Spring of 2013 continues to look more like a real spring instead of a quick jump from winter to summer!