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The sun is back but so is the cold air

The surface low pressure that crossed the Great Lakes yesterday and dragged a cold front across the area opened the door for another brief shot of cold Canadian air and today’s weather is the result.  Brilliant sunshine, gusty northwest winds, and a high temperature that will barely touch 40 degrees today all serve to remind us that winter can still exert its influence on the ‘Burg in February.  Tomorrow will bring more sunshine and only slightly warmer temperatures but the wind should lessen as the day progresses.

Then another system approaches the region from the west. This next system will dump heavy snow across the Central Plains states today and tomorrow as it gathers strength.  With cold air still in place over the ‘Burg any precipitation that falls Thursday night into Friday morning could create some frozen stuff and that is exactly what the NWS Sterling forecast graphics this morning indicate.  However, I am scratching my head at that forecast as I’ve checked five different forecast models this morning – including the vaunted European – and I can’t find any evidence of precipitation entering the picture around Fredericksburg until mid-morning Friday.  The NWS forecast has precipitation breaking out sometime after 1 Friday morning and creating the conditions for sleet and freezing rain that would wreak havoc on the morning commute.   Thus my recommendation is to pay attention to the forecast for Friday morning as it may change between now and then.  (Of course, wearing pajamas backwards and flushing ice cubes down the toilet Thursday evening may improve the odds from the schoolkids’ perspective…)

Saturday looks damp and yucky but sunshine and warmer temperatures Sunday may salvage at least part of the weekend.  That nice weather will likely carry over into Monday before yet another in the current train of storm systems approaches the ‘Burg.  The good news with this progressive weather pattern is that our soil moisture, lakes, and rivers are being replenished after last fall’s dry weather.  Keep that in mind if you get tired of cloudy skies…

Permalink: http://news.fredericksburg.com/weather/2013/02/20/the-sun-is-back-but-so-is-the-cold-air/