Good news bad news
So which do you want first? The answer to that question depends partly upon whether you are a cold weather or a warm weather person, but there is one item of bad news for all of us concerning the week ahead: it will be mostly dry with no precipitation. To be precise the HPC has a small amount of precipitation possible in its seven day forecast but the probabilities aren’t very good, so we won’t see much if any of the moisture that we could use to mitigate the growing drought here in the Old Dominion.
Meanwhile temperatures this week will average well above normal and starting Tuesday may not even get down to the freezing mark. (That’s the good news for the warm weather folks.) A strong high pressure system akin to a summertime “Bermuda High” will park off the East Coast and create southwesterly winds in the Fredericksburg area for several days later this week. A pattern shift in the weather is underway in which a long wave trough is setting up west of the Rocky Mountains that will allow very cold air to plunge southward. This southward bulge in the jet stream pattern will force a corresponding northward bulge over the eastern half of the nation, opening the door for warm air to push into our area. The overall effect will be to create warmer than normal conditions for the ‘Burg over the next ten days or so as shown in this Climate Prediction Center graphic:
I still believe (as do a lot of weather folks) that we will pay the piper for this warmth later this month as some of that cold Arctic air is loosed upon us but that setup seems to be slower to develop than anticipated. For now you warm weather lovers should rejoice, but you snow and cold weather lovers shouldn’t give up hope yet.