Workweek starts with a sunny Monday
Many folks have enjoyed a several day break from the routine but today (Monday) signifies the return to typical schedules. Fortunately today’s reversion to the “real world” is occurring under sunny skies and a high temperature in the low 50′s (F), close to the average for this time of November. As evening nears, however, a surface low pressure will develop to our southwest and then pass by just to the south of the ‘Burg Tuesday morning. This will usher in the potential for a bit of rain tonight and tomorrow as shown in this HPC graphic:
The green shading over the Fredericksburg area represents just over 0.10 inches of rain so it won’t be a washout by any means, while temperatures around the ‘Burg will be too warm for anything but liquid precipitation. However parts of northwestern Virginia – Winchester for example – will see a mix of rain and snow from this system, but without any accumulations.
The rest of the work week we will see the sun again although temperatures behind this next system will cool down a bit with highs in mid to upper 40′s Wednesday and Thursday, climbing back above the 50 degree mark by Friday. In the longer term the overall weather outlook keeps the eastern U.S. at or above normal temperatures through the first third of December as shown in this Climate Prediction Center graphic:
Despite the brief shots of cold air we’ve experienced recently the current weather pattern is holding on longer and stronger than some long range forecasters had thought. As a result we’re seeing relatively warm conditions for this time of year, but I am reasonably certain that the atmospheric logjam will break sometime around mid-December and much colder air will pour southward out of Canada to invade the Old Dominion for a longer visit. Will that result in the four letter word that begins with “S” for the ‘Burg? It’s too early to tell, and even though the temperatures might become amenable to frozen precipitation it all depends on whether the atmospheric moisture will be available. Meanwhile, back to Monday…