A new week, warm air, but little rain
The weather system that produced all the weekend tornadoes out west has acted as an atmospheric pump in that it is responsible for the current northward surge of warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico into our area. Today’s (Monday’s) high temperature for the ‘Burg will be well above the 80 degree (F) mark ahead of a cold front that will push through here tonight as a mainly dry event.
That same front will stall south of here over the Carolinas before pushing back into southern Virginia Tuesday night thanks to a weak upper level system. The result will be sunshine Tuesday and a few scattered showers Wednesday…but it won’t provide much moisture as shown in this HPC forecast graphic that summarizes the five day total expected precipitation through Friday night:
When will we see some more substantial precipitation? There are some forecast model hints that a juicy surface low pressure system will form and track across the Old Dominion over this next weekend. We’ll have to watch that one carefully.